Saturday, October 15, 2016

SAT's. Learn 'em, love 'em, llive 'em!

Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis; 2nd Edition

I will argue this can be used for more than intelligence. In fact, it is used in academia, business and more!

https://www.amazon.com/Structured-Analytic-Techniques-Intelligence-Analysis/dp/1452241511/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1476579994&sr=1-1&keywords=structured+analytic+techniques+for+intelligence+analysis

About the Author

Richards J. Heuer Jr. is best known for his book Psychology of Intelligence Analysis and for developing and then guiding automation of the Analysis of Competing Hypotheses (ACH) technique. Both are being used to teach and train intelligence analysts throughout the Intelligence Community and in a growing number of academic programs on intelligence or national security. Long retired from the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), Mr. Heuer has nevertheless been associated with the Intelligence Community in various roles for more than five decades and has written extensively on personnel security, counterintelligence, deception, and intelligence analysis. He has a B.A. in philosophy from Williams College and an M.A. in international relations from the University of Southern California, and has pursued other graduate studies at the University of California at Berkeley and the University of Michigan. Randolph H. Pherson has spearheaded teaching and developing analytic techniques and critical thinking skills in the Intelligence Community. He is the author of the Handbook of Analytic Tools and Techniques and has coauthored Structured Analytic Techniques for Intelligence Analysis with Richards J. Heuer Jr., Critical Thinking for Strategic Intelligence with Katherine Hibbs Pherson, and the Analytic Writing Guide with Louis M. Kaiser. Throughout his twenty-eight-year career at the Central Intelligence Agency, where he last served as national intelligence officer for Latin America, he was an avid supporter of ways to instill more rigor in the analytic process. As president of Pherson Associates, LLC since 2003 and chief executive officer of Globalytica, LLC since 2009, he has been a vigorous proponent of a case-based approach to analytic instruction. Together, Beebe and Pherson have developed and tested new analytic tools and techniques, created interactive analytic tradecraft courses, and facilitated analytic projects. In their work as analytic coaches, facilitators, and instructors, they have found the case approach to be an invaluable teaching tool. This second edition of case studies is their most recent collaboration and one that they hope will help analysts of all types improve both the quality and impact of their work.

Glossary - look it up!

Glossary of Critical Thinking Terms and Concepts: The Critical Analytic Vocabulary of the English Language with Commentary for Students, Educators and Citizens

https://www.amazon.com/Glossary-Critical-Thinking-Terms-Concepts/dp/B00RKNWH5Q/ref=sr_1_3?ie=UTF8&qid=1476579860&sr=8-3&keywords=a+glossary+of+critical+thinking

Designing for Simplicity

John Maeda: Designing for simplicity

Inventor of Cheeto Paint!

It is arguable today that American car manufacturers aren't engineers, but designers. Look at car commercials today. Little word on the engine or power, all about technology and interaction...

https://www.ted.com/talks/john_maeda_on_the_simple_life#t-219852

The MIT Media Lab's John Maeda lives at the intersection of technology and art, a place that can get very complicated. Here he talks about paring down to basics.

How small human changes create big change

Showing a series of inspiring, unusual and playful products, British branding and design guru Paul Bennett explains that design doesn't have to be about grand gestures, but can solve small, universal and overlooked problems.

https://www.ted.com/talks/paul_bennett_finds_design_in_the_details

THIS, was the inspiration for VELCRO

Stop looking at the big picture!

Small DATA: The Tiny Clues that Uncover Huge Trends

https://www.amazon.com/Small-Data-Clues-Uncover-Trends/dp/B01B5AYRXO

Named one of the "Most Important Books of 2016" by Inc.

A Forbes 2016 "Must Read Business Book"

Named a "Book Retailers Should Read in 2016" by Shelf Awareness

Martin Lindstrom, a modern-day Sherlock Holmes, harnesses the power of "small data" in his quest to discover the next big thing. Hired by the world's leading brands to find out what makes their customers tick, Martin Lindstrom spends 300 nights a year in strangers' homes, carefully observing every detail in order to uncover their hidden desires and, ultimately, the clues to a multimillion-dollar product. Lindstrom connects the dots in this globetrotting narrative that will enthrall enterprising marketers as well as anyone with a curiosity about the endless variations of human behavior.

You'll learn…

How a noise reduction headset at 35,000 feet led to the creation of Pepsi's new trademarked signature sound.
How a worn-down sneaker discovered in the home of an 11-year-old German boy led to LEGO's incredible turnaround.
How a magnet found on a fridge in Siberia resulted in a US supermarket revolution.
How a toy stuffed bear in a girl's bedroom helped revolutionize a fashion retailer's 1,000 stores in 20 different countries.
How an ordinary bracelet helped Jenny Craig increase customer loyalty by 159 percent in less than a year.
How the ergonomic layout of a car dashboard led to the redesign of the Roomba vacuum.

You don't know toast!

Making toast doesn’t sound very complicated — until someone asks you to draw the process, step by step. Tom Wujec loves asking people and teams to draw how they make toast, because the process reveals unexpected truths about how we can solve our biggest, most complicated problems at work. Learn how to run this exercise yourself, and hear Wujec’s surprising insights from watching thousands of people draw toast.

https://www.ted.com/talks/tom_wujec_got_a_wicked_problem_first_tell_me_how_you_make_toast

Storms in the Brain?

Brainstorming Done Right!

https://youtu.be/9K8W4ooygUU

http://www.groupharmonics.com - Ed Muzio, award-winning author, describes the process for proper brainstorming so that your group generates better ideas together than they would alone. Brainstorming is a group process that depends upon good group dynamics to succeed. Creativity and practical problem solving can flow from brainstorming done right; very little useful results will flow from brainstorming if it is done incorrectly.

Black Swan: Taleb vs. Tetlock

The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility"

A black swan is an event, positive or negative, that is deemed improbable yet causes massive consequences. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. In this second edition, Taleb has added a new essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.

https://www.amazon.com/Black-Swan-Improbable-Robustness-Fragility/dp/081297381X/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&qid=1476573781&sr=8-2&keywords=black+swan

Good insight into why we do what we do

The Power of Habit: Why We Do What We Do in Life and Business

https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/081298160X/ref=pd_bxgy_14_img_2?ie=UTF8&psc=1&refRID=F3WPDT590QFR462JWAPH

OVER 60 WEEKS ON THE NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER LIST

With a new Afterword by the author

In The Power of Habit, Pulitzer Prize–winning business reporter Charles Duhigg takes us to the thrilling edge of scientific discoveries that explain why habits exist and how they can be changed. Distilling vast amounts of information into engrossing narratives that take us from the boardrooms of Procter & Gamble to sidelines of the NFL to the front lines of the civil rights movement, Duhigg presents a whole new understanding of human nature and its potential. At its core, The Power of Habit contains an exhilarating argument: The key to exercising regularly, losing weight, being more productive, and achieving success is understanding how habits work. As Duhigg shows, by harnessing this new science, we can transform our businesses, our communities, and our lives.

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER • NPR BESTSELLER • WASHINGTON POST BESTSELLER • LOS ANGELES TIMES BESTSELLER • USA TODAY BESTSELLER • PUBLISHERS WEEKLYBESTSELLER

NAMED ONE OF THE BEST BOOKS OF THE YEAR BY
The Wall Street Journal • Financial Times

“Sharp, provocative, and useful.”—Jim Collins

“Few [books] become essential manuals for business and living. The Power of Habit is an exception. Charles Duhigg not only explains how habits are formed but how to kick bad ones and hang on to the good.”—Financial Times

“A flat-out great read.”—David Allen, bestselling author of Getting Things Done: The Art of Stress-Free Productivity

“You’ll never look at yourself, your organization, or your world quite the same way.”—Daniel H. Pink, bestselling author of Drive and A Whole New Mind

“Entertaining . . . enjoyable . . . fascinating . . . a serious look at the science of habit formation and change.”—The New York Times Book Review
“Cue: see cover. Routine: read book. Reward: fully comprehend the art of manipulation.”—Bloomberg Businessweek

“Absolutely fascinating.”—Wired
“A fresh examination of how routine behaviors take hold and whether they are susceptible to change . . . The stories that Duhigg has knitted together are all fascinating in their own right, but take on an added dimension when wedded to his examination of habits.”— Associated Press

“There’s been a lot of research over the past several years about how our habits shape us, and this work is beautifully described in the new book The Power of Habit.”—David Brooks, The New York Times

“A first-rate book—based on an impressive mass of research, written in a lively style and providing just the right balance of intellectual seriousness with practical advice on how to break our bad habits.”—The Economist

“I have been spinning like a top since reading The Power of Habit, New York Times journalist Charles Duhigg’s fascinating best-seller about how people, businesses and organizations develop the positive routines that make them productive—and happy.”—The Washington Post

The De facto read. Simply a "must have."

Thinking, Fast and Slow

https://www.amazon.com/Thinking-Fast-Slow-Daniel-Kahneman/dp/0374533555/ref=sr_1_3?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1476573099&sr=1-3&keywords=superforecasting

Major New York Times bestseller
Winner of the National Academy of Sciences Best Book Award in 2012
Selected by the New York Times Book Review as one of the best books of 2011
A Globe and Mail Best Books of the Year 2011 Title
One of The Economist's 2011 Books of the Year
One of The Wall Street Journal's Best Nonfiction Books of the Year 2011
2013 Presidential Medal of Freedom Recipient

In the international bestseller, Thinking, Fast and Slow, Daniel Kahneman, the renowned psychologist and winner of the Nobel Prize in Economics, takes us on a groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The impact of overconfidence on corporate strategies, the difficulties of predicting what will make us happy in the future, the profound effect of cognitive biases on everything from playing the stock market to planning our next vacation―each of these can be understood only by knowing how the two systems shape our judgments and decisions.
Engaging the reader in a lively conversation about how we think, Kahneman reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking. He offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and our personal lives―and how we can use different techniques to guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. Winner of the National Academy of Sciences Best Book Award and the Los Angeles Times Book Prize and selected by The New York Times Book Review as one of the ten best books of 2011, Thinking, Fast and Slow is destined to be a classic.

Missed The Good Judgement Project?

In contrast to Nicholas Taleb...

Predicting the future: A lecture by Philip Tetlock

https://youtu.be/xBXDTQdmNyw

https://www.amazon.com/Superforecasting-Prediction-Philip-E-Tetlock/dp/0804136718/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1476573099&sr=1-1&keywords=superforecasting

I wish I read this 10 years ago!

A former international hostage negotiator for the FBI offers a new, field-tested approach to high-stakes negotiations—whether in the boardroom or at home.

After a stint policing the rough streets of Kansas City, Missouri, Chris Voss joined the FBI, where his career as a hostage negotiator brought him face-to-face with a range of criminals, including bank robbers and terrorists. Reaching the pinnacle of his profession, he became the FBI’s lead international kidnapping negotiator. Never Split the Difference takes you inside the world of high-stakes negotiations and into Voss’s head, revealing the skills that helped him and his colleagues succeed where it mattered most: saving lives. In this practical guide, he shares the nine effective principles—counterintuitive tactics and strategies—you too can use to become more persuasive in both your professional and personal life.

Life is a series of negotiations you should be prepared for: buying a car, negotiating a salary, buying a home, renegotiating rent, deliberating with your partner. Taking emotional intelligence and intuition to the next level, Never Split the Difference gives you the competitive edge in any discussion.

Critical Thinking Info Page

Pages